It is not within 5 minutes to walk
to Fernvale LRT. It is a good 15 minutes. We walked over to Greenwich, which
has a cold storage and a number of nice restaurants. The nearest MRT was
Buangkok 3km away, followed by Yio Chu Kang, a 10 minutes drive away.
Clearly, the location was not the
best. However, we noticed that new condo developments just across the road were
selling for at least $1100 PSF. Even older developments can be rent out at
about $3,000 for 1000 square feet condominium. There were not many condominiums
in that area, being a new estate, but at seletar area, there are many landed
properties, similar to Kembangan, Siglap area. The area gives me a nostalgic feel, with
Holland Village as a similar feel (before MRT was up then). I am likely to
drive and continue to drive hence dropping off my wife then at MRT station in
the morning will alleviate her transport woes.
The pricing was reasonable. On
average, they are selling for $730 PSF. The unit I am eyeing for, a 21st
level pool facing 3 Bedroom unit is selling for $716,000 for 915 square feet.
This works out to be $783 PSF before grant. As our income is at $12,000, we are
eligible for deferred $10,000 grant when my fiancée becomes citizen. This will
further reduce our cost to $772 PSF.
Assuming ECs will trade at a 15%
discount to nearby similar age properties, there is at least a $100 PSF upside
for Topiary. This allows me to floor my downside risk of purchasing market at
current levels. Assuming I am able to rent out my condo after 5 years at
$2800/month, my gross yield will be 4.76% after grant, before interest costs.
My cash portfolio of stocks
generates at least $20,000 per annum of dividends returns, which can comfortably
cover the monthly installment of the purchase.
This allows me to continue my cash
investments and not be afraid of losing my job. At most I become a tuition
teacher, taxi driver or full time blogger; I will not lose the condo over my
head. Both my wife and I can work in a $2,500 job and still afford the monthly installments
without touching our retirement nest egg.
My CPF investments can continue as
well as I am only utilizing $60,000 from my OA account for the down payment and
stamp duty, the rest shared with my partner.
The
calculations are as follows:
5% cash =
$35,800
15% CPF = $107,400
3% Stamp
Duty - $5400 = $16,000
Total = $159,200
Loan = $573,000
Monthly
installment base on 2.5% = $2,270.
Risks:
We are
actually buying at the peak of the property cycle. I must be prepared for a 20%
downside for my property. Hence, I am likely to liquidate my property counters
to avoid taking double layered risks.
My partner
and I have about 3 years more before we move in. We need to ensure that we can
wait till then and not break up before marriage or we will lose 20% of the
property price.
There are
at least 2 more sites reserved for ECs, thus limiting upside for Topiary. I do
hope that developers bid higher prices for the land so as to translate to
higher selling prices.
The next
post will be on why we chose a 3 Bedroom instead of a 3 Bedroom dual key and
forgo the potential for rental when Topiary is just minutes away from the
Seletar Aerospace hub.
4 comments:
Hi SBC,
Very interesting posts. It's like watching a soap opera. There is definitely much to learn from your experience.
Keep it coming ya.
Cheers!
Hi SBC,
Very interesting posts. It's like watching a soap opera. There is definitely much to learn from your experience.
Keep it coming ya.
Cheers!
Hi SBC,
I read your posts with great interest and am glad you finally got your property :)
Your blogs is an inspiration to me as I thought I was the only stupid fella who gave up alot of personal enjoyment to focus on investing... glad to find someone like-minded :)
Keep up the good work and I look forward to reading more of your investment experience :)
Cheers
Erich
You seem really capable! How old are you this year?
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